Source and agent CER

Open your materials, follow the steps, then turn in your work.

Students write a CER identifying the likely source and infectious agent of the outbreak.

2. Start the work

State a claim naming the likely source and agent of the outbreak.

Show all 5 required steps
  1. State a claim naming the likely source and agent of the outbreak.
  2. Cite epidemic-curve, map, and identification-test evidence.
  3. Explain reasoning that links exposure patterns to the proposed source.
  4. Quantify the outbreak using incidence and attack-rate values.
  5. Identify assumptions and limitations in the data and methods.

Lost your place? Lost your place? You are writing a CER. Check your progress: claim naming source and agent (1), cited curve, map, and test evidence separately (2), reasoning that links exposure pattern to source (3), incidence and attack-rate numbers (4), assumptions and limitations (5). Resume at your first missing piece.

Check your work before submitting

  • Write a CER naming source and agent with multi-tool evidence.
  • Include a quantitative measure and at least one limitation.

3. Turn in your work

DueCheck Schoology
Hand in
CER naming the likely outbreak source and infectious agent, citing epidemic curve, spot map, and agent-ID evidence, including an attack rate or incidence value, and stating assumptions and limitations.
How to submit and name your file

Use the submission route shown on today's today's page.

In Schoology, open your course and the assignment for this lesson. Attach your file, select Submit, and check that it appears in the submission.

PDF upload help

You get two school days for every day you were absent, so this deadline moves with you.

Find this lesson's Schoology assignments

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How this lesson connects

Keep using what you learned last class: Each identification test reads only one property of a pathogen, so narrowing to the true agent works by stacking several test results together to eliminate suspects, not by finding one test that names it. Today: A curve, a map, and an agent-ID test each measure something the others cannot, so an outbreak claim is trustworthy only because three independent lines of evidence agree on the same source.

Print or open for todayActivity 3.1.6 Gram Staining

Check you have the right sheet: the top of it prints today's portal day, Source and agent CER. The PLTW activity itself is in myPLTW and is not posted here.

Unit 4 extra creditNine items, any order, turn one in any day. Read the cover sheet first.Cover sheet (6 pages)See all nine
Optional: listen or watch a unit review
Optional unit study notebook
How outbreaks are investigated and tracked, from case one to a public-health response.
Open the notebook
Optional review video
Audio overviewVideo overviewMind mapStudy guideFlashcardsQuizData table
Need help? Warm-up, timing, and directions

💡 Big idea: A curve, a map, and an agent-ID test each measure something the others cannot, so an outbreak claim is trustworthy only because three independent lines of evidence agree on the same source.

  1. 0-8 minReview Wednesday data: confirm curve shape, map cluster location, and agent-ID result.
  2. 8-20 minWrite the claim: name the likely source (location/event) and infectious agent in one sentence.
  3. 20-45 minWrite evidence: cite curve shape, map cluster, and agent-ID result as three separate points.
  4. 45-60 minWrite reasoning: connect exposure patterns to the proposed source for each evidence point.
  5. 60-70 minCalculate and insert incidence or attack-rate value; add assumptions and limitations.
  6. 70-80 min: confirm three evidence sources are cited, quantitative value is present, limitation stated.
Mr. Mendoza's 5-minute intro
  • You have the curve, the map, and the agent-ID results from Wednesday: today you build the argument.
  • Every piece of evidence must be cited by the tool that produced it, not just described generically.
  • The quantitative section is mandatory: an attack rate or incidence value turns a description into a measure.
  • Your limitation should point to one specific gap in the Wednesday data that could change your conclusion.
Know by the end
  • Attack rate = (number of cases / number exposed) x 100: a quantitative measure of outbreak severity.
  • Multi-tool evidence means citing the curve, the map, and the test result independently, not as a single statement.
  • Assumptions reveal where the investigation could be wrong; limitations reveal where the data is incomplete.

PLTW connection and today's work

In myPLTW, open Lesson 3.1 Nosocomial Nightmare and go to Activity 3.1.6 Gram Staining. Use it as the scaffold for your source-identification CER.

Today's stopping point: Platform prompts done in first 15 minutes; full CER submitted before end of period.

PLTW activity titles identify the course connection. If your account will not open, use the posted materials for today and tell Mr. Mendoza. Do not mark an online activity complete unless you completed it.

Course connection

  • Activity 3.1.6 Gram Staining
Open Activity 3.1.6 Gram Staining in myPLTW

Use the turn-in directions at the top of this page. Do not create a second submission unless your teacher asks for one.

Show another explanation or a smaller first step

Need help? Choose a starting point

Need a running start
Warm up the math and the frame: attack rate is (cases / exposed) x 100, and a CER is claim, then evidence, then reasoning. Compute the attack rate once so you can drop it straight into the evidence section.
On track
Write a CER that names the source and agent, cites the curve, map, and test result as three separate pieces of evidence, links the exposure pattern to the source in your reasoning, quantifies with incidence and attack rate, and states your assumptions and limitations.
Stuck? Get unstuck
Absent? Use a fill-in frame: 'I claim the source was ___ and the agent was ___. The curve shows ___, the map shows ___, the test shows ___.' Complete each blank from the data and add one assumption and one limitation.
Push me further
Write the counter-CER: build the strongest case a skeptic could make against your conclusion using the assumptions and limitations you listed, then explain in two sentences why your original claim still holds.
Lesson resources: reading, slides, and vocabulary
Socratic teaching slide deck

The deck carries the prior idea forward, lets you inspect an analogy, maps the rule to biology, and ends with the same evidence decision and exit ticket used on this page.

Generated from this lesson's canonical data with a red-team citation check.

Carry forward

Each identification test reads only one property of a , so narrowing to the true agent works by stacking several test results together to eliminate suspects, not by finding one test that names it.

Daily take-home

A curve, a map, and an agent-ID test each measure something the others cannot, so an outbreak claim is trustworthy only because three independent lines of evidence agree on the same source.

Inspect the analogy

Wet footprints appear across connected rooms after one person enters from the rain.

  1. Which footprint came first?
  2. Which rooms connect?
  3. What pattern would support more than one entry point?
Rule

Patterns across time and connection can narrow a explanation without proving it by themselves.

Where it breaks

People change behavior, infections have periods, and surveillance data can be incomplete.

Map the analogy to biology
  • Footprints map to recorded cases.
  • Room connections map to exposures.
  • The route hypothesis maps to a limited claim.
Read this first

Driving question: Can you write a claim naming the reunion outbreak's source and agent that survives scrutiny because the curve, the map, and the test result each point to it on their own?

What you already know: Each identification test reads only one property of a , so narrowing to the true agent works by stacking several test results together to eliminate suspects, not by finding one test that names it.

New idea: A curve, a map, and an agent-ID test each measure something the others cannot, so an outbreak claim is trustworthy only because three independent lines of evidence agree on the same source.

Visual or model: F1. F1. A lesson illustration or teaching diagram for Source and agent CER. Use it with E1-E3; it is a model or context image, not experimental or patient data. What to notice: Trace the labeled observation or evidence sequence before choosing an explanation.

  1. Observe or measure the relevant feature in today's lesson.
  2. Organize the observation with a stable evidence ID.
  3. Apply this rule: Patterns across time and connection can narrow a explanation without proving it by themselves.
  4. Choose the option the evidence supports and state the limit of the conclusion.

Real biomedical example: Can you write a claim naming the reunion outbreak's source and agent that survives scrutiny because the curve, the map, and the test result each point to it on their own?

What the evidence supports: E1-E3 and F1 support the daily take-home when the response meets the stated success criteria.

What it cannot prove: The package does not support claims beyond this lesson's or any real patient diagnosis.

Vocabulary:
  • epidemiology: The study of how diseases spread, who they affect, and what causes them across populations, used to find patterns and guide prevention.
  • : A table used in outbreak investigations where each row records one patient's key details, such as symptoms, dates, and exposures.
  • : A bar graph showing the number of new disease cases over time, used to track how fast an outbreak is growing or shrinking.
  • : Keeping samples or cultures at a controlled warm temperature for a set time so cells, microbes, or reactions can grow or proceed.
  • prevalence: The share of a population that has a particular disease or condition at a given time, often shown as a percentage.
  • incidence: The number of new cases of a disease that appear in a population during a set period of time.
  • : The specific organism or factor, such as a bacterium, virus, or , that directly produces a particular disease.

Use it now: Choose one decision option. Cite E1 and E3, then explain how the rule connects the evidence to your choice.

Go further, optional: The source links below are optional enrichment. Every fact required for today's local evidence decision appears in this lesson package.

Evidence set and decision
E1 · Source fact

Patterns across person, place, and time can narrow an outbreak hypothesis, but they require case definitions, comparison data, and laboratory or epidemiological confirmation before a source is established.

Limit: A classroom map or curve can support a limited hypothesis and next investigation step, not a confirmed source or individual diagnosis.

E2 · Teaching model

Patterns across time and connection can narrow a explanation without proving it by themselves.

Limit: People change behavior, infections have periods, and surveillance data can be incomplete.

E3 · Task criterion

Write a CER naming source and agent with multi-tool evidence.

Limit: E3 defines the classroom product or success criterion. It is not independent scientific evidence and cannot justify a clinical or causal claim.

PLTW-PBT-2026-11-30 · Simulated classroom evidence scenario

Your role: biomedical investigator

Decision: Your team must decide what the evidence from today's lesson supports before submitting the claim-evidence-reasoning response named on today's page.

  • Support the claim by saying the curve, the map, and the test all show the potato salad caused it.
  • Gather comparison data on who ate the potato salad and who did not, because case counts alone cannot show what differed.
  • Name the source only when the curve's timing, the map's location, and the test's biology each point there independently.

Response: State one choice, cite at least two evidence IDs, explain the rule that connects them, and add one limitation. Submit it as the claim-evidence-reasoning response.

Claim ceiling: Today's evidence supports a classroom claim about today's lesson. It cannot prove causation, diagnose a real patient, or justify action outside this room.

Composite case file · PLTW-PBT-2026-11-30

Reason for review: Your team must decide what the evidence from today's lesson supports before submitting the claim-evidence-reasoning response named on today's page.

Context: A strong outbreak claim earns trust by triangulation: the same source is pointed to independently by the timing (curve), the geography (map), and the biology (agent ID), and a claim standing on only one of these is weak no matter how confident it sounds.

Timeline:
  • T1: State a claim naming the likely source and agent of the outbreak.
  • T2: Cite epidemic-curve, map, and identification-test evidence.
  • T3: Explain reasoning that links exposure patterns to the proposed source.
  • T4: Quantify the outbreak using incidence and attack-rate values.
  • T5: Identify assumptions and limitations in the data and methods.
Evidence records:
  • E1: Patterns across person, place, and time can narrow an outbreak hypothesis, but they require case definitions, comparison data, and laboratory or epidemiological confirmation before a source is established.
  • E2: Patterns across time and connection can narrow a explanation without proving it by themselves.
  • E3: Write a CER naming source and agent with multi-tool evidence.

Measurements: Use only the measurements, units, graph, or counts supplied in today's task. No additional patient measurement is implied.

Figure finding: Teaching diagram for Source and agent CER. Trace the labeled observation or evidence sequence before choosing an explanation. This is a teaching model, not patient or experimental data.

Uncertainty: This is a composite classroom scenario. Missing history, measurements, or confirmation tests remain unknown and limit the conclusion.

Math moment
Formula or setup

Mean = sum of values / number of values. Median = middle ordered value. Range = maximum - minimum.

Worked parallel example

For 2, 4, 4, and 10: mean = 20 / 4 = 5, median = 4, and range = 10 - 2 = 8.

Units and reasonableness

Mean, median, and range keep the measurement unit. Order the values before finding the median.

Try it with today's data

Calculate the requested summary for today's supplied values, then write what it reveals and what it hides.

Watch the trap

Students often think Students think citing evidence means restating their conclusion a few times in different words, so 'the curve, map, and test all show it was the potato salad' reads to them like three pieces of evidence.. The trap: That is one claim stated three times, not three pieces of evidence, because real triangulation means each source contributes something the others cannot (the curve gives timing, the map gives location, the test gives biology), and only when three independent lines agree does the claim actually get stronger.

Worked example · a parallel case (guides, does not reveal)
Worked CER on a parallel case
Completes: Parallel worked CER (different scenario) modeling the outbreak source-and-agent format: a claim naming a likely source and agent, three independent evidence sources (curve, map, test), a quantitative measure, reasoning that ties the tools together, and stated limitations.

This is a MODEL from a different case, not the answer to today's reunion outbreak. Study how the pieces fit together, then build your own argument from your own curve, map, and test.\n\nScenario (parallel case): Campers at a lakeside summer camp fall ill with watery diarrhea over one week. Investigators have an epidemic curve, a spot map of cases by cabin, and a water sample result. They must name a likely source and agent.\n\nClaim: The likely source of the outbreak was untreated water from the camp's shallow well, and the likely agent was a waterborne protozoan parasite (Giardia).\n\nEvidence (three independent sources):\n- Epidemic curve: cases rose gradually and stayed elevated for about a week, a continuous-source pattern rather than one sharp peak.\n- Spot map: cases were spread across cabins on the well-fed side of camp, not clustered around any single meal or event.\n- Agent ID: a water sample from the well tested positive for Giardia cysts, a parasite spread through contaminated water.\n\nQuantitative measure: Attack rate = (24 cases / 80 campers using the well) x 100 = 30 percent.\n\nReasoning: A continuous-source curve means people kept getting exposed over days rather than all at once, which fits ongoing use of a water supply instead of one shared meal. The map locates the exposure with the campers who drank from the well, and the water test names the organism. Each tool answers a different question (when, where, what), and only together do they point to one explanation. A single peak would have suggested a one-time source, so the shape of the curve matters as much as the map and the test.\n\nAssumptions and limitations: I assume the count of 80 well users is accurate; if some listed campers actually drank bottled water, the true attack rate is higher. Onset dates were partly self-reported, so the curve's start could shift by a day. The positive sample shows the parasite was present in the water, but it does not prove every case drank from that well, so matching individual cases to well use would strengthen the claim.

Why this matters

This model shows the level of evidence and organization needed to complete: Parallel worked CER (different scenario) modeling the outbreak source-and-agent format: a claim naming a likely source and agent, three independent evidence sources (curve, map, test), a quantitative measure, reasoning that ties the tools together, and stated limitations.

Build yours step by step
  1. Write one defensible claim.
  2. Choose specific evidence that supports the claim.
  3. Explain the scientific rule that connects the evidence to the claim.
Change it for a new task

Keep the structure. Replace the question, facts, measurements, and evidence. Then recheck units, vocabulary, and whether the conclusion goes beyond the evidence.

Also due today: Submit your CER on Schoology before the end of the period.

See the full worked example
Portal terms
CER:
Claim, Evidence, Reasoning: make a claim, back it with evidence, explain your reasoning.
SOP:
Standard Operating Procedure, the exact steps to follow (especially in a lab).
Tracker:
Your PLTW progress log where you record completed evidence.
myPLTW:
The PLTW course site where you do the online activities. Find it in Clever with your Microsoft sign-in, right next to Schoology.
This unit's vocabulary
/ep-ih-dee-mee-OL-uh-jee/

Tap the speaker to hear a term. Add two of these to your notebook glossary with a definition and an example in your own words.

Build your vocabulary · optional, for extra credit

Pick just 2 or 3 words from today and make them yours: write what each one means in your own words, name the context clue or evidence that helped, then give one example from what you actually did in Source and agent CER. Try your own words first; the glossary is there if you get stuck. This is voluntary and counts as extra credit, so keep it short.

epidemiology
line list
epidemic curve
incubation
prevalence
incidence

Saved on this device. Show Mr. Mendoza or add these to your notebook glossary to claim the extra credit.

Connected learning centerMeasles: More Than a RashPBS: Outbreak evidence audit. Use this case to apply today's lesson to verified outbreak evidence.
Audio Resources

Play the cold open at the start of the unit to set the scene. Each recording is AI-generated and simulated (fictional callers, no real people or student data).

PBS U3 - Outbreak call (Ward 4)Activity 3.1.1 Outbreak!Block 1 cold open (Case WARD 4, Period 1-2)
PBS U3 - Outbreak call (Wing C)Activity 3.1.1 Outbreak!Block 1 cold open (Case WING C, Period 6-7)
Resources & readings

Hand-picked readings and interactives for this lesson, from authoritative open organizations and PLTW's own public course outline.

Practice: try a question, then check your answer

Claim ceiling for this check: Today's evidence supports a classroom claim about today's lesson. It cannot prove causation, diagnose a real patient, or justify action outside this room.

Quick self-check · commit, then reveal

A student writes: 'The source was the potato salad. Evidence: the curve shows potato salad, the map shows potato salad, the test shows potato salad.' What is wrong with this as multi-tool evidence, and how should each line actually read?

How sure are you?

Write an answer and pick a confidence to unlock the key.

Cumulative WebXam review · flash practice

Fast retrieval with instant answers, not the commit-then-reveal check above. Try each from memory first: write what you remember about the earlier units, then check yourself here.

Tap an answer to check it · nothing is recorded or graded
[Review: Genetic Risk: karyotypes, pedigrees, and diagnosing from mixed evidence] A genetic test reports a result without listing its false-positive rate. Why does that limit an evidence-based conclusion?
[Review: New to the Practice: building a new-patient diagnostic workup] When synthesizing several test results into a recommendation, what makes the recommendation most defensible?
[Review: Nosocomial Nightmare: the chain of infection and how to break it] During plating, why is a face shield considered user PPE rather than sample PPE?
In epidemiology, what does incidence measure?
Missed class or ready for more?
🔬 Pre-lab simulation

Run this before you touch the bench. It is built from the real lab procedure, so the decisions you make here are the ones you will make with the equipment in your hands.

Who Is on the Plate?
Open the simulation →
Where this leads: careers
What to do if you were absent
If YOU are absent

Today is individual work you can do from home: complete the same target above, then submit your CER.

FOR A GRADE
Open Schoology

Go to Schoology to turn this in. Submit one PDF. Put your first and last name in the document header. Name the file: FirstName LastName - Assignment Title - YYYY-MM-DD.pdf. If you cannot get in, see Mr. Mendoza. Do not skip the work.

If MR. MENDOZA is absent

Class still runs. Complete the online activity above (it's self-guided). Need the concept taught without a teacher? Use this authoritative explainer:

CDC: principles of epidemiology and outbreak investigation
Optional extra credit (async)

You've passed Unit 2, so the optional extra-credit track is open. Complete reserved-unit work from home, including virtual labs, for extra credit. Each item shows its correct submission route.

Open the extra-credit track
How this is graded
For: CER: CER naming the likely outbreak source and infectious agent, citing epidemic curve, spot map, and agent-ID evidence, including an attack rate or incidence value, and stating assumptions and limitations.
  • Complete
    Every required part of the artifact is present, nothing left blank.
  • Accurate
    The science and the data are correct and match the evidence.
  • Scientific reasoning
    You explain your claim with evidence and reasoning (CER), not just an answer.
  • Professional communication
    Clear, organized, labeled, and written the way a clinician or scientist would.
  • Submitted
    Go to Schoology to turn this in. Submit one PDF. Put your first and last name in the document header. Name the file: FirstName LastName - Assignment Title - YYYY-MM-DD.pdf. If you cannot get in, see Mr. Mendoza. Do not skip the work.